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Demand drives investment in additional US cheese and whey production
Large investments in US cheese and whey capacity will significantly expand production through 2026 and increase the US’ share of the global market in the long term.
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As US milk production continues to expand, significant investments have been channeled into cheese and whey capacity, with production of those products expected to grow significantly through the end of 2026. This additional supply is expected to eventually be absorbed by both growing domestic consumption and climbing demand from various export markets. US per capita cheese consumption hit another record high in 2023, and it is likely that cheese exports had a record year in 2024. Protein consumption and health-and-wellness trends are pushing prices across the whey complex to record highs, with exports climbing as well. These trends justify the expanded processing capacity, but the growth could temporarily lead to an oversupplied market and reduce cheese prices in the near term as the market works to absorb the additional output. In the longer term, these investments will mean the US will continue to grow market share in cheese and whey supplies to the growing global market. Consumer demand trends will remain positive in a continued success story for cheese and its value-added byproducts.
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